BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+8 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 13-fight card at Florida. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to win a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. I will attempt to get my 2nd seat this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and throw 50-100 entrances at that $25k decoration, then I will probably have a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Roosevelt Roberts — $9,500
I expect Roberts to be the much better fighter anywhere this fight goes. I think Gifford’s best shot at a win will be gearing a guillotine. Other than that, I believe we have a pretty safe win here using Roberts and that is precisely what I am searching for. I need the safer wins in cash and I will be concerned about who’s going to score the greatest in GPPs. I think we can get away from him in the GPPs in his price because if he sets up 90 DK points in a win then that won’t win $25k. It will help us win in cash games though and I would be surprised if he had a low scoring win here. I think he is excellent for 80-100 points here and I am totally ok with that in my cash lineup.
GPP drama of this week — Greg Hardy- $9,300
Hardy is the GPP drama of the week and he has the greatest ITD odds on the card in -222. This is a set up fight for him to receive a knockout and I think this is most likely going to take place in the very first round. That should put Hardy over 100 points and I am interested in that. Hardy will be one of my top plays of the week, but he is GPP only for me. We can’t trust him sufficient for cash games, so that’s why I like Roberts longer in that format. I really do think Hardy can outscore Roberts even though they win, and he’s $200 cheaper. That could knock Roberts off the top lineup and in spite of high ownership we can win that $25k with Hardy in our lineup so long as he receives the early KO. Hardy wins in round 1 is strung in -130 and that’s too good for me to pass in GPPs.
Underdog drama of this week — Glover Teixeira — $7,900
Teixeira is no more the underdog on the gambling line (-120) however DraftKings salaries do not change once they are released. We get Teixeira here for $400 less costly than Cutelaba and he’s preferred to get the win. In addition, I think he can win in the 1st round with a submission and score over 90 points. That would provide him a good chance at being to the optimal lineup. I’ll be targeting both sides of the struggle in GPPs because I do not expect it to move all 3 rounds, but value on Teixeira is what I like the most and we need to have”underdogs” within our DK lineups with the $50k salary cap. I believe the obvious path to success for Glover is on the floor and that’s what I anticipate his game plan to be. I enjoy him to get a entry win if he is able to land takedowns and he will be one of my greatest owned underdogs this week.
Fade of the week — Carla Esparza ($8,200)
I know folks were expecting me to place Angela Hill as my fade at $9.4k. She’s a solid fade too… But I’m going with Esparza as my fade this week and I have zero lineups including her. In general, Esparza is a good wrestler and we enjoy wrestlers in DraftKings. I simply don’t see wrestling being in her very best interest against Jandiroba and that I think she uses her wrestling at defense to attempt and keep this fight on the feet. All the threat is on the ground in this matchup and Carla gets the boxing of the two. I believe she could win a 30-27 striking decision but that won’t score highly, and I’d guess it sets up about ~60 DK points. That isn’t going to cut it at $8.2k so that I just don’t see how she ends up on the $25k lineup this week even if she does win, and that is why she’s my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I am 69-44 to get +224.83u (+$22,483) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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