The 2019 Food City 500 takes place on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at two p.m. ET, and every corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked trail where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second victory of this 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be recorded at 14-1 to triumph in the most current 2019 Food City 500 odds. However, there are six drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your 2019 Food City 500 choices, see the NASCAR at Bristol predictions in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and recent results into account.

The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . It was all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender in the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the drivers at McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes at the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His version mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For Sunday, we can tell you that the model is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol chances.

Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this track among busy NASCAR drivers. This includes a victory last August in the NASCAR at Bristol race for his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way into the front of the package from the ninth starting position because race and has also already come from the 27th and 13th starting places to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and will again start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.

Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the best Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better worth than the 12-1 premium he is controlling.

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