This weekend, we’ve got a 14-fight card at Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate competitions available for this Fight Night card, which is rare for these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the principal GPP I will be pursuing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs as well. However, this week DraftKings includes two contests for trips out to Vegas to see the McGregor vs Khabib battle. Flight, hotel, and struggles all paid for. The floor seats competition is a $33 entrance along with the non-floor seats contest is only a $15 entry. I am going to have to take a few shots in that too. Additionally, DraftKings just released a contest for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry with a massive $100,000 to 1st place. That is by far the biggest prize we have seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we can shoot some extra shots at the $100k. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this week in Addition to my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your strongest triumph on the card and that I think she gets this battle ended early. That is where I’m starting my cash LUs weekly. Only give me the -1100 favorite who is being fed up an easy win , for my cash games. I really do like a lot of the top favorites with this particular card, I simply are the most shocked if Souza lost. I believe she’s fine in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, so cash games are the ideal place to get your Souza investment this week. Take this triumph, then find 3 others and you need to be useful in money games.
GPP play of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a big Charles”Can Bronx” Oliveira fan, and he has a few of my own favorites in UFC history. I think we could see another amazing one here. This battle appears to be simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and if he could get it then he likely receives a 1st round sub. If this happens he should lock up a solid 100 points and I am pretty certain in being the outcome of this fight, so that is why he is my GPP play of this week. He is also my GPP play of the week, rather than my Cash play of this week for a reason. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he will probably quit and get finished himself with strikes. I don’t enjoy that risk of a reduced floor for my own money LU, so I prefer Souza there. But in GPPs I like saving the 200 and going down to perform Bronx.
Underdog play of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders a lot more if he wasn’t taking this fight on short notice, and when it wasn’t in Brazil. But he can have a clear route to victory here and that’s by knocking out Santos who does not have a fantastic chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this struggle and he could win with a few hard GNP too. At $7.6k he will almost surely wind up on the winning LU if he is able to get the KO. This is the main event, so he will have 5 rounds to function with. I do think that is a solid matchup for Anders, however he has to be competitive and not hang out on the outside. If he hangs out on the exterior too long Santos will eat him up with kicks and it could be a brief night for Anders. I will select him to get the win here as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. This will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you can get your additional five spots correct also.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of this week on here, I was quite wrong and he scored over 100 points. If this happens again , then so be it. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO win to pay off a $9.2k salary by a guy who doesn’t throw several strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points out of Alvey if I roster him and the only real way get caught that is with a 1st round KO win. That could occur here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not willing to invest my money in it.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on each struggle, my personal strategies & suggestions, and also my selection prediction for every single fight then you can find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can go to this link below:
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